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Microsoft claims quantum computing is “years, not decades” away

Majorana 1 chip is less prone to errors and features fewer qubits than competing chips from Google and IBM

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BENGALURU: Microsoft unveiled its Majorana 1 chip, asserting that practical quantum computing is now “years, not decades” away.

The announcement positions Microsoft alongside tech giants such as Google and IBM, who have similarly suggested that a transformative shift in computing technology is imminent. Quantum computing promises to revolutionise various fields, particularly in executing complex calculations that would otherwise take classical computers millions of years.

This potential extends to groundbreaking discoveries in medicine and chemistry, where the vast combinations of molecular structures often overwhelm traditional computational capabilities.

The promise of quantum computing, however, is accompanied by substantial challenges, particularly concerning the stability and reliability of qubits—the fundamental units of quantum information.

Unlike classical bits, which can exist in a state of either zero or one, qubits can represent multiple states simultaneously, enabling quantum computers to process information at unprecedented speeds. Yet, this advantage is tempered by the qubit’s susceptibility to errors and difficulties in control.

Microsoft has claimed that its Majorana 1 chip is less prone to such errors compared to its competitors, a claim supported by a forthcoming scientific paper in the esteemed journal Nature.

The discourse surrounding the timeline for the practical application of quantum computing remains contentious among industry leaders. Jensen Huang, CEO of Nvidia, expressed scepticism, suggesting that quantum technology is still two decades away from surpassing traditional computing capabilities.

Reduced error rates

In contrast, Google has posited that commercial applications of quantum computing could emerge within five years, while IBM anticipates large-scale quantum computers to be operational by 2033. This divergence in predictions underscores the uncertainty inherent in the field of quantum computing, a domain marked by rapid advancements and evolving understanding.

Microsoft’s Majorana 1 chip is particularly noteworthy due to its reliance on the Majorana fermion, a subatomic particle theorised in the 1930s. The properties of Majorana fermions are believed to contribute to reduced error rates in quantum computations, a critical factor for the viability of quantum systems.

The chip’s development, which has spanned nearly two decades, utilises a combination of indium arsenide and aluminum, employing superconducting nanowires to observe and manipulate these elusive particles.

“High risk, high reward” endeavour

Notably, while Majorana 1 features fewer qubits than competing chips from Google and IBM, Microsoft asserts that its design will require fewer qubits to achieve practical utility due to its enhanced error resilience.

Despite the excitement surrounding Majorana 1, Microsoft has not specified a timeline for scaling the chip into a fully operational quantum computer. Nevertheless, the company remains optimistic, suggesting that the transition from theoretical exploration to practical application is imminent.

Jason Zander, Microsoft’s executive vice president overseeing long-term strategic initiatives, characterised the development of Majorana 1 as a “high risk, high reward” endeavour. He emphasised the innovative nature of the project, noting that the team had to pioneer new methodologies to fabricate the chip at the atomic level.

The implications of Microsoft’s advancements in quantum computing extend beyond computational prowess; they also raise critical concerns regarding cybersecurity. Current encryption systems largely rely on the assumption that classical computers cannot feasibly break complex codes within a reasonable timeframe.

However, the advent of powerful quantum computers poses a significant threat to these systems, as they could potentially crack existing encryption methods with alarming efficiency. This duality of promise and peril encapsulates the profound impact that quantum computing could have on society.

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